VELO vs TAC'90 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
19%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
18.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VELO
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
VEL
0 - 3
IFC
31%
24%
46%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
VOC
2 - 1
VEL
69%
17%
14%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
SJC
48%
22%
30%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
WAT
1 - 4
VEL
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VEL
4 - 1
GDA
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
TAC'90
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
TAC
0 - 2
WAT
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
GDA
0 - 1
TAC
44%
22%
34%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
TAC
4 - 2
POO
20%
20%
60%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
VOC
3 - 2
TAC
80%
13%
7%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
TAC
2 - 3
SJC
26%
20%
54%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | -1 |