Vellmar vs Oberrad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.9%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
10.5%
5.7%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vellmar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
VIK
0 - 1
VEL
26%
21%
52%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 2
SFS
56%
20%
23%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SWM
1 - 3
VEL
12%
18%
71%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 0
STE
25%
24%
51%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
EDE
4 - 0
VEL
30%
22%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Oberrad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
OBE
2 - 1
SVW
13%
19%
67%
|
13 | 34 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
BAY
6 - 0
OBE
82%
12%
6%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
VIK
1 - 1
OBE
77%
14%
8%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
OBE
1 - 6
SFS
15%
20%
65%
|
13 | 28 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SWM
0 - 2
OBE
70%
17%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |