Vélez CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-48%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vélez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1996 |
MAL
1 - 0
VEL
76%
17%
8%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
VEL
2 - 0
CAD
39%
26%
35%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
CCF
2 - 1
VEL
67%
20%
13%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
VEL
0 - 0
GAL
53%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1996 |
SEV
2 - 0
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
60%
24%
16%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1996 |
POL
1 - 1
RJA
43%
29%
28%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1996 |
RJA
1 - 2
XER
47%
27%
26%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1996 |
REC
0 - 0
RJA
45%
28%
27%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1996 |
UDL
3 - 1
RJA
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |