Zrinjski vs Velež Mostar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
78
1º
6º
1º
45
3º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Zrinjski
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ZEL
0 - 1
ZRI
38%
28%
34%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
ZRI
3 - 0
SIR
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
1 - 0
SLO
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
ZRI
4 - 0
IGM
80%
15%
5%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 0
ZRI
19%
27%
55%
|
77 | 55 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
IGM
0 - 1
VEL
15%
26%
59%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
POS
67%
21%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
VEL
1 - 1
SAR
42%
27%
31%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SLO
1 - 1
VEL
23%
28%
48%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
BBL
0 - 0
VEL
50%
26%
24%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |