Velež Mostar vs Sloboda Tuzla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
9.1%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
11º
6º
32
7º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velež Mostar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
4 - 0
SLO
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SAR
0 - 1
VEL
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 3
ZRI
42%
27%
31%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 0
BBL
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
0 - 3
VEL
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Sloboda Tuzla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 1
LEO
44%
27%
29%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ZEL
1 - 0
SLO
66%
22%
12%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
2 - 2
SLO
40%
28%
31%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SLO
1 - 1
SLO
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
RUD
0 - 0
SLO
26%
26%
49%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |