Velbert vs Siegen Sportfreunde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
BOC
2 - 1
VEL
49%
23%
28%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 0
BOR
22%
24%
53%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
1 - 0
VEL
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
ROT
30%
24%
46%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 0
VEL
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Siegen Sportfreunde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 0
KFC
62%
21%
17%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
ROT
0 - 1
SPO
38%
26%
37%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 0
AAA
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | +2 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
SPO
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 2
BAY
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |