Oberliga Nordrhein Round 31

Velbert vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis

Velbert Schwarz-Weiss Essen
34 ELO 36
6.6% Tilt 3.6%
2390º General ELO ranking 3238º
99º Country ELO ranking 135º
ELO win probability
38.9%
Velbert
25.6%
Draw
35.6%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
Velbert
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
35.6%
Win probability
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Velbert
+79%
+43%
Schwarz-Weiss Essen

ELO progression

Velbert
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Velbert
Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2007
BSC
Bonner SC
2 - 1
Velbert
VEL
53%
24%
23%
33 35 2 0
29 Apr. 2007
VEL
Velbert
4 - 1
Düren
DUR
74%
16%
10%
33 22 11 0
22 Apr. 2007
KFC
KFC Uerdingen 05
2 - 0
Velbert
VEL
55%
24%
21%
34 31 3 -1
15 Apr. 2007
VEL
Velbert
3 - 0
SV Straelen
STR
49%
24%
27%
33 33 0 +1
09 Apr. 2007
ROT
Rot-Weiß Oberhausen
1 - 1
Velbert
VEL
68%
21%
11%
32 52 20 +1

Matches

Schwarz-Weiss Essen
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2007
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
1 - 1
Homberg
VFB
63%
20%
17%
38 31 7 0
29 Apr. 2007
AAA
Alemannia Aachen II
2 - 1
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
41%
26%
33%
39 37 2 -1
22 Apr. 2007
SWE
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
3 - 2
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
70%
18%
12%
39 28 11 0
18 Apr. 2007
STR
SV Straelen
0 - 3
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
36%
26%
38%
38 31 7 +1
15 Apr. 2007
USO
Union Solingen
0 - 2
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
SWE
29%
26%
45%
37 22 15 +1