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Bulgaria Third Division. Sur-Oeste, Matchday 23

Velbazhd Kyustendil vs Rilski Sportist analysis

Velbazhd Kyustendil Rilski Sportist
16 ELO 16
-66% Tilt -36%
19104º General ELO ranking 5598º
186º Country ELO ranking 83º
ELO win probability
22.2%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
42.8%
Draw
34.9%
Rilski Sportist

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
2.4%
3-2
0.1%
+1
17.6%
42.8%
Draw
0-0
31.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
0.8%
3-3
<0%
0
42.8%
34.9%
Win probability
Rilski Sportist
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
21.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Velbazhd Kyustendil
-62%
-14%
Rilski Sportist

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marek
82
82
50%
Kyustendil
82
82
50%
Belasitsa
78
78
100%
Vihren
75
75
100%
Oborishte
60
60
100%
Balkan Botevgrad
58
58
100%
Chavdar Etropole
51
51
100%
Botev Ihtiman
46
46
100%
Pirin Gotse Delchev
45
45
100%
Pirin Razlog
10º
41
41
10º
100%
Slivnishki Geroy
11º
36
36
12º
50%
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
12º
36
36
11º
50%
Rilski Sportist
13º
34
34
13º
33%
Bansko
14º
34
34
14º
33%
Levski Chepintsi
15º
34
34
15º
33%
Granit Vladaya
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Perun
17º
22
22
17º
100%
Velbazhd Kyustendil
18º
16
16
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Velbazhd Kyustendil
Rilski Sportist
Champion
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Rilski Sportist
RIL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
VEL
Levski Chepintsi
LCH
Bansko
BAN
Chavdar Etropole
CHA
Granit Vladaya
GRV
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Velbazhd Kyustendil
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1%
X%
2%
ELO VEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
PEK
Perun
2 - 0
Velbazhd Kyustendil
VEL
46%
27%
27%
224 214 -10 -2
13 Mar. 2021
VEL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 - 2
Marek
MAR
45%
27%
28%
226 340 -114 -2
06 Mar. 2021
VEL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 - 4
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
NAD
46%
27%
27%
228 236 -8 -2
24 Feb. 2021
VEL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
1 - 4
Balkan Botevgrad
BAL
42%
28%
31%
232 296 -64 -2
28 Nov. 2020
VEL
Velbazhd Kyustendil
0 - 0
Slivnishki Geroy
SLI
42%
28%
31%
232 316 -84 0

Matches

Rilski Sportist
Rilski Sportist
1%
X%
2%
ELO RIL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Mar. 2021
RIL
Rilski Sportist
1 - 0
Nadezhda Dobroslavtsi
NAD
46%
27%
27%
221 239 -18 +1
13 Mar. 2021
VIH
Vihren
2 - 0
Rilski Sportist
RIL
53%
25%
22%
223 409 186 -2
06 Mar. 2021
RIL
Rilski Sportist
0 - 2
Balkan Botevgrad
BAL
42%
28%
31%
225 301 -76 -2
24 Feb. 2021
RIL
Rilski Sportist
1 - 1
Pirin Razlog
PIR
45%
27%
28%
226 276 -50 0
28 Nov. 2020
RIL
Rilski Sportist
0 - 1
Botev Ihtiman
BOT
46%
27%
27%
227 150 77 -1