Velay FC vs Aurillac Arpajon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
49.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velay FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
2 - 2
CLE
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
MOU
4 - 1
VEL
70%
16%
14%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
VEL
0 - 1
VAU
32%
23%
44%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
AUR
0 - 2
VEL
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aurillac Arpajon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
LPV
4 - 2
AUR
77%
16%
7%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
AUR
3 - 2
AIN
35%
23%
43%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
THO
3 - 2
AUR
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
AUR
1 - 0
LIM
28%
25%
47%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
BOU
3 - 0
AUR
54%
24%
23%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | -1 |