Velarde CF vs Rayo Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BAR
2 - 0
VEL
23%
23%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
VEL
4 - 0
SDN
86%
10%
4%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
VEL
0 - 2
SEV
8%
20%
72%
|
20 | 87 | 67 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 1
VEL
34%
24%
42%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rayo Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
RSC
3 - 0
ARE
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
BAR
1 - 2
RSC
71%
17%
12%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 3
VIM
62%
20%
18%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RSC
1 - 2
SEL
37%
24%
39%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
RSC
52%
22%
27%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | -1 |