Velarde Camargo B vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
43.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde Camargo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MDC
3 - 3
VEL
18%
18%
64%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
0 - 2
LIE
26%
22%
52%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SJU
0 - 3
VEL
7%
14%
79%
|
19 | 7 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
VEL
4 - 0
FOC
37%
23%
40%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
RIO
1 - 10
VEL
12%
17%
71%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
13 - 0
RIO
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UNI
0 - 1
CAS
26%
20%
55%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
SAM
50%
21%
29%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
4 - 0
ROB
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PON
0 - 3
CAS
19%
19%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | 0 |