VCD Athletic vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
47.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
EGH
2 - 1
VCD
54%
23%
23%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VCD
0 - 0
AVE
43%
23%
34%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
VCD
3 - 1
MAL
41%
25%
34%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VCD
4 - 1
KIN
25%
24%
51%
|
22 | 35 | 13 | +4 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
VCD
0 - 2
PHO
48%
23%
30%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HAR
1 - 2
THU
31%
22%
48%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 5
THU
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 21 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
HOR
2 - 0
THU
41%
26%
34%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
THU
1 - 0
WRO
85%
11%
4%
|
34 | 17 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
THU
2 - 3
HAL
83%
11%
6%
|
35 | 6 | 29 | -1 |