VCD Athletic vs Beckenham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
39.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
9º
19º
17º
68
1º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
68 | 68 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
67 | 67 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
66 | 66 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
65 | 65 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
58 | 58 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
57 | 57 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
54 | 54 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
51 | 51 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
45 | 45 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
43 | 43 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
42 | 42 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
39 | 39 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
|
17º
|
38 | 38 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
36 | 36 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
31 | 31 |
19º
|
100% | |
|
20º
|
28 | 28 |
20º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VCD Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
VCD
0 - 0
LIT
25%
19%
55%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
TOO
1 - 2
VCD
21%
23%
56%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
THR
2 - 0
VCD
35%
22%
43%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
VCD
2 - 1
HAY
42%
24%
34%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
HAY
1 - 2
VCD
49%
24%
27%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Beckenham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BEC
2 - 1
SHE
16%
18%
66%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BEC
3 - 2
KSP
73%
16%
11%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
BEC
3 - 2
COR
37%
23%
40%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAN
2 - 3
BEC
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
HOR
0 - 3
BEC
21%
19%
60%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |