Vaux-Noville vs Bastogne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
23.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaux-Noville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
VAU
3 - 5
JEU
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SAR
1 - 1
VAU
36%
22%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
VAU
3 - 0
LON
25%
22%
53%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
AUB
1 - 0
VAU
49%
21%
30%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
MEI
3 - 0
VAU
68%
18%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bastogne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 0
SMA
42%
22%
36%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2021 |
LOR
3 - 3
BAS
82%
11%
6%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 2
LAR
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
FLO
2 - 1
BAS
29%
21%
50%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
1 - 8
LIB
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | -2 |