Vasco da Gama vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
VAS
0 - 4
BOT
45%
27%
27%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
VAS
37%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
1 - 3
CSA
52%
26%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2021 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
COT
45%
27%
29%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
AVA
1 - 1
VIT
55%
26%
19%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CSA
36%
29%
35%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PPE
0 - 0
VIT
53%
25%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
VIT
35%
26%
39%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
VIT
4 - 0
BRA
58%
25%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |