Vasco da Gama vs San Lorenzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
16.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
2 - 1
PPE
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2000 |
SAN
1 - 1
VAS
20%
23%
57%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2000 |
GUA
0 - 1
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
1 - 0
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
VAS
3 - 3
CRZ
53%
24%
23%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
San Lorenzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 1
RAC
72%
17%
11%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2000 |
NOB
1 - 0
SLO
37%
26%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 4
ATM
52%
24%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2000 |
SLO
3 - 0
GLP
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2000 |
RIV
2 - 2
SLO
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |