Vasco da Gama vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
23.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
FRI
82%
13%
5%
|
82 | 50 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
BAN
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
70%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
DUQ
1 - 3
VAS
13%
20%
68%
|
82 | 48 | 34 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 0
AME
83%
13%
4%
|
82 | 51 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
51%
24%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
OLI
2 - 0
NAC
47%
25%
28%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 0
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
LFC
0 - 1
NAC
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MWA
1 - 3
NAC
29%
27%
44%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
2 - 1
PEÑ
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |