Carioca 1 Copa Río. Semi-finals
Global 2-2
Vasco da Gama vs Madureira RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.5%
2-0
16%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
15%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
6.3%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 2
VAS
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2021 |
FLA
1 - 3
VAS
84%
11%
5%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
TOM
1 - 2
VAS
27%
27%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Madureira RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
4 - 1
MAD
84%
12%
4%
|
49 | 81 | 32 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
4 - 2
MAC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
0 - 0
BOA
29%
26%
45%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 5
FLA
4%
16%
80%
|
48 | 88 | 40 | 0 |