Vasco da Gama vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
VAS
53%
23%
24%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2004 |
VAS
0 - 3
ECN
84%
11%
5%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLA
55%
23%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
ECN
1 - 1
VAS
18%
20%
62%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
32%
28%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
COT
1 - 0
GUA
54%
25%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAN
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
AME
1 - 1
GUA
32%
26%
42%
|
75 | 61 | 14 | 0 |