Carioca 1 Copa Guanabara. 1/16

Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis

Vasco da Gama Flamengo
78 ELO 90
-2.2% Tilt -14%
200º General ELO ranking 48º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
17.7%
Vasco da Gama
25%
Draw
57.4%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
57.4%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
+20%
+8%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2020
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Bangu
BAN
86%
11%
3%
78 49 29 0
08 Dec. 2019
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 1
Chapecoense
CHA
60%
23%
17%
78 72 6 0
05 Dec. 2019
BAH
Bahía
1 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
48%
27%
25%
78 79 1 0
03 Dec. 2019
VAS
Vasco da Gama
1 - 0
Cruzeiro
CRZ
40%
27%
33%
78 82 4 0
29 Nov. 2019
SAO
São Paulo
1 - 0
Vasco da Gama
VAS
50%
27%
24%
78 81 3 0

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Jan. 2020
MAC
Macaé Esporte
0 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
7%
19%
73%
90 45 45 0
21 Dec. 2019
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
63%
20%
17%
90 93 3 0
17 Dec. 2019
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 1
Al-Hilal SFC
ALH
71%
17%
12%
90 83 7 0
08 Dec. 2019
SAN
Santos FC
4 - 0
Flamengo
FLA
27%
26%
47%
90 84 6 0
06 Dec. 2019
FLA
Flamengo
6 - 1
Avaí
AVA
89%
9%
3%
90 65 25 0
X