Vasco da Gama vs Ferroviário analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89.4%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.3%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.5%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.6%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.6%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
3.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
CRZ
0 - 0
VAS
41%
28%
32%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
NAU
1 - 1
VAS
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
VAS
0 - 0
CRZ
66%
19%
15%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1983 |
VAS
1 - 1
NAU
76%
16%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1983 |
TRE
0 - 2
VAS
17%
23%
61%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Ferroviário
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1983 |
TRE
2 - 1
FER
65%
21%
14%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1983 |
FER
0 - 3
CRZ
26%
27%
47%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
FER
2 - 1
TRE
45%
26%
29%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1983 |
CRZ
1 - 1
FER
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 81 | 28 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 1983 |
NAU
3 - 0
FER
77%
16%
7%
|
54 | 73 | 19 | -1 |