Vasco da Gama vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
35.4%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
PAL
42%
25%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
COT
2 - 0
VAS
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
VAS
0 - 0
PPE
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 2
VAS
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
VAS
5 - 2
JUV
52%
24%
25%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 0
JUV
63%
20%
17%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 1
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
PPE
2 - 3
CRZ
38%
25%
37%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
CRZ
2 - 3
SAO
33%
24%
43%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
PAL
2 - 1
CRZ
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |