Série A . Semi-finals
Global 3-2
Vasco da Gama vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
16.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
COT
1 - 1
VAS
37%
30%
33%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
VAS
4 - 0
OPE
68%
19%
14%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1979 |
VAS
5 - 0
UBE
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1979 |
ATP
1 - 1
VAS
28%
31%
42%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1979 |
ASA
0 - 1
VAS
19%
24%
57%
|
90 | 60 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1979 |
COT
1 - 1
VAS
37%
30%
33%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1979 |
COT
1 - 0
XVD
67%
19%
13%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1979 |
GUA
0 - 0
COT
63%
22%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1979 |
COT
4 - 0
VIT
59%
25%
16%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1979 |
CAM
0 - 1
COT
18%
23%
58%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |