Carioca 1 Copa Río. Final
Global 1-1
Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
36%
27%
37%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
VAS
2 - 1
MAD
79%
15%
6%
|
74 | 50 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
MAD
1 - 0
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
74 | 48 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
RES
1 - 3
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
74 | 46 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
BOA
2 - 2
VAS
17%
24%
59%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
NOV
0 - 1
BOT
18%
24%
58%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 0
NOV
71%
18%
11%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
BOT
4 - 0
MAC
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 36 | 32 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
FLU
1 - 0
BOT
66%
21%
13%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |