Vasco da Gama vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1974 |
SAM
2 - 0
VAS
26%
30%
45%
|
82 | 59 | 23 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1974 |
SET
0 - 1
VAS
43%
26%
30%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
VAS
1 - 1
OLA
70%
20%
11%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
ITA
0 - 3
VAS
28%
33%
39%
|
82 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
ARN
2 - 3
VAS
34%
30%
36%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 1974 |
AME
3 - 0
SCI
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1974 |
BAH
1 - 0
AME
49%
28%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1974 |
GRE
2 - 1
AME
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1974 |
BOT
1 - 1
AME
75%
15%
10%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1974 |
AVA
0 - 2
AME
45%
28%
26%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |