Vasco da Gama vs América RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 1973 |
VAS
1 - 0
FLU
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
FFL
0 - 0
VAS
40%
31%
30%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
VAS
3 - 1
CRZ
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
VAS
0 - 2
FLA
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ATM
2 - 1
VAS
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
América RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1973 |
AME
0 - 2
OLA
65%
22%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1973 |
BOT
2 - 1
AME
73%
16%
11%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1973 |
AMF
1 - 1
AME
54%
26%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
CRZ
0 - 2
AME
63%
21%
16%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
FFL
1 - 0
AME
44%
28%
28%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |