Vasco da Gama AC vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.6%
Win probability
3.38
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
1.2%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
2.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
14.1%
3-0
10%
4-1
6.6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.1%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.3%
5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
3.7%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 4
RIO
19%
21%
60%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
GAL
5 - 1
VAS
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 0
AND
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
2 - 1
VAS
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
VAS
0 - 2
ATL
18%
20%
63%
|
17 | 38 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 3
GAL
6%
11%
82%
|
7 | 40 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
5 - 0
SFC
87%
9%
4%
|
7 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
SFC
0 - 3
SCH
7%
12%
81%
|
7 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
AND
1 - 0
SFC
66%
17%
17%
|
8 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
SFC
1 - 2
PLA
9%
15%
77%
|
8 | 26 | 18 | 0 |