Varzim vs Paços de Ferreira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
SAN
1 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 2
LEX
54%
23%
23%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPB
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
VIT
4 - 0
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
VAR
2 - 0
FAR
48%
25%
27%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paços de Ferreira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2001 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MAR
42%
28%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2001 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
MAR
87%
10%
3%
|
67 | 27 | 40 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2001 |
BOA
5 - 0
PAÇ
73%
18%
9%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
PAÇ
0 - 6
SCP
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2001 |
SAL
3 - 2
PAÇ
42%
26%
32%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |