Varzim vs Mafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
7.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
16.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
26.8%
18.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-34%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
VAR
33%
29%
39%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
0 - 0
SPC
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
FEI
1 - 0
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 2
FAR
55%
26%
20%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 0
GFC
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Mafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 1
CHA
22%
27%
51%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
OLI
2 - 1
MAF
33%
29%
38%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
MAF
0 - 0
PEN
30%
29%
41%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
VSC
1 - 0
MAF
51%
27%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2016 |
MAF
2 - 1
POR
24%
27%
49%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | +1 |