Varzim vs Joane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
6.8%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.5%
9.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GON
1 - 2
VAR
30%
30%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOA
57%
25%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AMA
0 - 2
VAR
29%
28%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2013 |
VAR
2 - 1
FAF
52%
26%
22%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Joane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 1
TIR
20%
24%
56%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
INF
4 - 0
JOA
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -3 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
2 - 0
FAF
21%
25%
54%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
RIB
2 - 1
JOA
72%
18%
11%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JOA
1 - 0
OSL
21%
25%
54%
|
34 | 51 | 17 | +3 |