Varzim vs Feirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
29.9%
Draw
0-0
12.2%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.9%
38%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SPC
0 - 0
VAR
63%
21%
15%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
OLI
3 - 0
VAR
51%
26%
23%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
0 - 0
POR
36%
30%
34%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
FAT
0 - 0
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
VAR
1 - 1
CAR
60%
24%
17%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Feirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 0
CHA
56%
25%
19%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
FEI
1 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
FEI
44%
28%
29%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
POR
1 - 0
FEI
49%
26%
25%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2009 |
FEI
3 - 2
SPC
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |