Varzim vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
60.1%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
FCB
1 - 2
VAR
45%
24%
31%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
VAR
4 - 1
ACA
61%
21%
18%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
VAR
0 - 2
SLB
14%
18%
69%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
OLH
0 - 1
VAR
47%
24%
29%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VAR
0 - 0
VST
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1964 |
FCP
1 - 0
LEX
78%
14%
9%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1964 |
FAB
1 - 0
FCP
24%
25%
51%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 1964 |
LGC
0 - 3
FCP
19%
24%
57%
|
87 | 60 | 27 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1964 |
FCP
2 - 1
SCP
49%
23%
28%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1963 |
VIT
2 - 2
FCP
33%
24%
43%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |