Varzim vs Lixa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.7%
7.5%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
FAM
2 - 1
VAR
47%
26%
28%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
ATL
0 - 1
VAR
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
VAR
3 - 0
FEL
66%
22%
13%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VIZ
2 - 3
VAR
44%
27%
28%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
VAR
1 - 1
VIL
69%
20%
11%
|
57 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lixa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
LIX
2 - 3
RIB
15%
23%
62%
|
24 | 52 | 28 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
LIX
1 - 2
TOU
32%
25%
44%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ADO
0 - 0
LIX
72%
17%
11%
|
25 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2006 |
LIX
0 - 2
VST
9%
17%
75%
|
29 | 75 | 46 | -4 |
| 11 Jan. 2006 |
LIX
1 - 0
RIB
31%
24%
46%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | +3 |