Varzim vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
37.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
31%
29%
40%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
VAR
2 - 1
LEX
41%
29%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
MAF
2 - 0
VAR
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
ACA
2 - 0
VAR
50%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
BEN
0 - 1
ACA
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
MAF
1 - 1
BEN
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
3 - 1
ARO
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
LEX
2 - 1
BEN
37%
27%
35%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
BEN
4 - 0
ACV
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |