Varzim vs Benfica II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
48.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.8%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
PEN
1 - 0
VAR
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 0
LEX
49%
27%
24%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
SCF
1 - 1
VAR
52%
26%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
VAR
1 - 2
FAM
46%
28%
26%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
CHA
0 - 2
VAR
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | +2 |
Matches
Benfica II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
OLI
81%
13%
6%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 2
BEN
25%
26%
49%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
PEN
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
OLH
1 - 1
BEN
27%
27%
46%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2015 |
UNM
0 - 1
BEN
20%
22%
58%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |