Segunda Liga Round 19

Varzim vs Académica analysis

Varzim Académica
54 ELO 58
-8.1% Tilt -18.3%
3466º General ELO ranking 3479º
58º Country ELO ranking 59º
ELO win probability
32.8%
Varzim
27.9%
Draw
39.3%
Académica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
Varzim
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.3%
Win probability
Académica
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varzim
+27%
+12%
Académica

ELO progression

Varzim
Académica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varzim
Varzim
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Jan. 2022
MAF
Mafra
0 - 0
Varzim
VAR
68%
21%
11%
53 65 12 0
20 Dec. 2021
SPC
SC Covilha
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
49%
27%
24%
53 56 3 0
12 Dec. 2021
VAR
Varzim
1 - 3
Trofense
TRO
52%
26%
22%
55 51 4 -2
02 Dec. 2021
CAS
Casa Pia AC
1 - 0
Varzim
VAR
69%
20%
11%
55 65 10 0
27 Nov. 2021
VAR
Varzim
0 - 2
Penafiel
PEN
30%
27%
43%
56 61 5 -1

Matches

Académica
Académica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Jan. 2022
ACA
Académica
1 - 2
Rio Ave
RIO
23%
27%
51%
60 73 13 0
28 Dec. 2021
ACA
Académica
1 - 1
Trofense
TRO
63%
22%
15%
60 52 8 0
18 Dec. 2021
MAF
Mafra
2 - 2
Académica
ACA
51%
27%
23%
60 63 3 0
12 Dec. 2021
ACA
Académica
1 - 2
Chaves
CHA
34%
27%
39%
60 65 5 0
05 Dec. 2021
PEN
Penafiel
0 - 0
Académica
ACA
48%
27%
25%
60 62 2 0