Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
MAF
0 - 0
VAR
68%
21%
11%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
SPC
1 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 3
TRO
52%
26%
22%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -2 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 0
VAR
69%
20%
11%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
VAR
0 - 2
PEN
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2022 |
ACA
1 - 2
RIO
23%
27%
51%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 1
TRO
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
MAF
2 - 2
ACA
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
ACA
1 - 2
CHA
34%
27%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2021 |
PEN
0 - 0
ACA
48%
27%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |