Varzim vs Académica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.2%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
27.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
SPC
2 - 1
VAR
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 0
ARO
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 0
VAR
49%
27%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 0
POR
43%
27%
31%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
CHA
1 - 1
VAR
51%
26%
22%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Académica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ACA
0 - 1
FEI
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
COV
0 - 0
ACA
29%
29%
42%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 0
EST
41%
27%
32%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
ACA
3 - 0
PEN
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
FEI
1 - 0
ACA
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |