CD Varea vs Izarra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Varea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
SDL
1 - 1
VAR
56%
22%
22%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2020 |
VAR
1 - 0
CAS
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
VAR
6 - 0
YAG
91%
7%
2%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
PRA
0 - 5
VAR
9%
16%
75%
|
32 | 15 | 17 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
VAR
2 - 0
RIV
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Izarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 0
IZA
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
IZA
1 - 1
SAL
33%
27%
40%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
CUL
1 - 1
IZA
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
IZA
1 - 1
CLH
29%
27%
44%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
3 - 1
IZA
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |