Varde vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
57.3%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
JAM
3 - 2
VAR
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
VAR
0 - 0
TJO
62%
20%
18%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
THI
2 - 0
VAR
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
VAR
3 - 5
RIS
49%
23%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -2 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MID
2 - 1
VAR
47%
23%
30%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 1
B19
74%
17%
9%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
LIF
2 - 1
AAF
19%
22%
59%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2011 |
AAF
0 - 4
HOL
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
NAS
1 - 2
AAF
25%
24%
51%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
AAF
2 - 1
DJU
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | 0 |