Varde IF Elite vs Hedensted analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.4%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
60.2%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
24%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
7º
27
4º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
RIN
4 - 0
VAR
76%
15%
9%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
TAR
26%
23%
52%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
OFA
2 - 1
VAR
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 4
OKS
24%
22%
54%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HED
1 - 0
VAR
65%
19%
16%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Hedensted
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HED
1 - 0
BOL
53%
23%
25%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
MAR
2 - 1
HED
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2022 |
HED
1 - 0
DAL
20%
24%
57%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +3 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HED
0 - 0
AAR
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
TAR
2 - 1
HED
36%
25%
40%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |