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Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 22

Varde IF Elite Hedensted
12 ELO 12
11% Tilt 123%
6820º General ELO ranking 6989º
59º Country ELO ranking 61º
ELO win probability
25.7%
Varde IF Elite
19.8%
Draw
54.4%
Hedensted

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
Varde IF Elite
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
54.4%
Win probability
Hedensted
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Varde IF Elite
+29%
+71%
Hedensted

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Marienlyst
36
38
93%
Hedensted
34
38
67%
Odense Kammeraternes SK
29
32
56%
Odder
28
31
34%
Varde IF Elite
27
28
86%
B 1913
24
24
26%
Ringkøbing
23
25
6%
Tarup-Paarup
22
25
55%
AC Horsens II
18
18
10º
27%
Viby IF
10º
17
20
47%
Kolding BK B
11º
15
17
11º
72%
Expected probabilities
Varde IF Elite
Hedensted
Champion
0% 33%
Promotion playoffs
14% 67%
Relegation playoffs
86% 0%

ELO progression

Hedensted
HED
Varde IF Elite
VAR
B 1913
BOL
Ringkøbing
RIN
Marienlyst
MAR
Viby IF
VIB
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Varde IF Elite
Varde IF Elite
1%
X%
2%
ELO VAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
HFS
AC Horsens II
2 - 3
Varde IF Elite
VAR
41%
28%
31%
177 120 -57 +1
21 Apr. 2021
VAR
Varde IF Elite
1 - 0
Tarup-Paarup
TAR
47%
27%
26%
176 103 73 +1
17 Apr. 2021
VAR
Varde IF Elite
0 - 1
Odense Kammeraternes SK
OKS
49%
26%
25%
177 59 118 -1
13 Apr. 2021
VAR
Varde IF Elite
3 - 0
Odder
ODD
47%
27%
26%
175 114 61 0
10 Apr. 2021
MAR
Marienlyst
0 - 1
Varde IF Elite
VAR
45%
27%
28%
175 191 16 -1

Matches

Hedensted
Hedensted
1%
X%
2%
ELO HED ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
HED
Hedensted
1 - 1
Viby IF
VIB
45%
27%
28%
171 161 10 0
21 Apr. 2021
HED
Hedensted
1 - 1
Ringkøbing
RIN
47%
27%
26%
171 115 56 0
17 Apr. 2021
HED
Hedensted
2 - 1
AC Horsens II
HFS
47%
27%
26%
170 121 49 +1
10 Apr. 2021
OKS
Odense Kammeraternes SK
2 - 2
Hedensted
HED
42%
28%
31%
170 59 -111 0
05 Apr. 2021
HED
Hedensted
1 - 1
Marienlyst
MAR
46%
27%
27%
170 191 -21 0