Varde IF Elite vs Boldklubben 1909 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
43.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
+30%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
7º
10º
7º
21
5º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
36 | 36 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 28 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
7 | 7 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varde IF Elite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
BOL
38%
24%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
3 - 2
VAR
73%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
1 - 1
OKS
25%
22%
53%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HED
0 - 1
VAR
68%
18%
13%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
VAR
4 - 4
RIN
17%
21%
62%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Boldklubben 1909
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
B19
0 - 2
RIN
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BOL
0 - 2
B19
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
B19
2 - 2
TAR
28%
23%
49%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
1 - 2
B19
67%
18%
15%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +2 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
B19
4 - 1
OTB
70%
17%
13%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |