Vard vs FK Arendal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FRA
0 - 4
VAR
38%
24%
38%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
VAR
1 - 0
KJE
49%
23%
28%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
VAR
0 - 1
FKA
51%
22%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
FFC
1 - 2
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
SSK
2 - 3
VAR
26%
24%
50%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FK Arendal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
FKA
3 - 1
OFK
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
SKE
1 - 2
FKA
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2021 |
FKA
2 - 0
FFC
65%
19%
17%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
EGE
0 - 3
FKA
55%
22%
24%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2021 |
FKA
1 - 1
ODD
63%
19%
17%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |