Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 2-2
Valur Reykjavík vs Sheriff analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valur Reykjavík
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
4 - 0
GRI
69%
19%
13%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
SHF
1 - 0
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
VAL
3 - 0
SCO
59%
21%
20%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2018 |
FYL
0 - 0
VAL
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2018 |
SCO
1 - 0
VAL
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Sheriff
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SHF
2 - 0
SPE
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
SHF
1 - 0
VAL
49%
23%
28%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
PET
1 - 0
SHF
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2018 |
SHF
0 - 0
SHK
65%
18%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2018 |
SHK
1 - 0
SHF
31%
23%
46%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |