Real Valladolid vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.9%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
13.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Valladolid
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
ALC
1 - 2
VAD
13%
22%
65%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
VAD
0 - 1
UDL
64%
22%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
OVI
3 - 0
VAD
22%
24%
54%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
CDT
1 - 4
VAD
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
VAD
5 - 1
SDA
75%
18%
8%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
EIB
1 - 0
LUG
67%
21%
12%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 1
OVI
36%
29%
36%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ALM
3 - 3
LUG
61%
23%
16%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
LUG
1 - 0
ALC
58%
25%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
UDL
2 - 2
LUG
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |