Valerenga IF vs Lyn 1896 FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
13.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
69
1º
12º
1º
46
4º
16º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
32 | 32 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 4
VIF
26%
24%
50%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
VIF
3 - 0
RAU
78%
15%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 2
VIF
20%
24%
56%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
VIF
3 - 1
RAN
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
IKS
1 - 2
VIF
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Lyn 1896 FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
LYN
2 - 2
IKS
64%
20%
16%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
LYN
43%
24%
33%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
LYN
7 - 1
STB
38%
24%
38%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MJO
1 - 2
LYN
27%
24%
49%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LYN
3 - 1
ASA
65%
20%
16%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |