Valenciennes vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
44.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CLE
4 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
SOC
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
REI
3 - 4
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
0 - 1
GRE
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
AMI
60%
23%
17%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ROD
1 - 0
TFC
21%
25%
54%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
TFC
3 - 0
AJA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
0 - 2
TFC
54%
24%
23%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
TRO
1 - 1
TFC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |