Valenciennes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
47%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 0
TFC
29%
26%
44%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
CLE
4 - 0
VAL
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
VAL
2 - 2
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2021 |
SOC
2 - 0
VAL
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2021 |
REI
3 - 4
VAL
62%
22%
16%
|
64 | 79 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MET
0 - 1
ANG
43%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
GIR
1 - 2
MET
40%
28%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
NIC
1 - 2
MET
50%
26%
24%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
MET
1 - 2
STR
43%
27%
30%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
AMI
1 - 2
MET
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |