Valenciennes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LUS
0 - 1
VAL
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 3
DIJ
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
RED
1 - 5
VAL
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
VAL
1 - 1
BOU
48%
25%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
MET
2 - 0
VAL
61%
24%
16%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
TOU
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
2 - 1
LEN
40%
28%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
0 - 4
LHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
DIJ
2 - 0
LEN
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2015 |
LEN
1 - 1
LUS
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |