Valencia Mestalla vs Real Murcia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
26.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
CAR
1 - 0
VAL
62%
20%
18%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
VAL
0 - 1
GRA
48%
27%
25%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
PAL
2 - 1
VAL
41%
28%
31%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 1998 |
VAL
2 - 1
GAN
62%
23%
16%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
RCD
0 - 2
VAL
53%
26%
22%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Murcia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1999 |
MUR
2 - 0
GAV
48%
25%
26%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1998 |
ONT
1 - 1
MUR
44%
27%
29%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1998 |
MUR
2 - 0
YEC
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 1998 |
AGU
1 - 1
MUR
30%
28%
42%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1998 |
MUR
2 - 3
TER
34%
28%
39%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |